Downtown Residential Market Report

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CGggUa-lkUw&feature=youtu.be

Today we’re going to cover one of our pet subjects, the Downtown Augusta residential market, specifically Olde Town.  Click here to download Olde Town Q4 2019 Market Report

 

What’s going on:  Prices are rising–homes bought at retail (livable, decent condition) have risen from about $63/SF on average to just under $80/SF on average over four years–that’s about a 26% increase.  As a whole, the average price has risen from about $30/SF to about $57/SF–almost double–over the past four years.  

 

Part of what’s happening is that there are lots of abandoned and derelict homes that have been purchased, along with the rise of young professionals moving downtown.  The average buyer in Olde Town today is a young, single, professional female.  She is educated, trendy, and wants to be connected to the neighborhood and the downtown.  

 

In 2010 when I bought my home in Olde Town, things were much different.  The neighborhood was ‘busier’–more foot traffic, and there was a significantly higher percentage of section 8 housing in the neighborhood.  Over the past ten years families have moved downtown–many connected to First Presbyterian Church and Christ Community Health Services (a non-profit heath center located in the middle of Olde Town).  The rents started rising, investors started buying and renovating the homes, and soon things started changing.  

 

In the past two years is when I’d say I’ve seen the most change.  The main section 8 property in our neighborhood, Olde Town Apartments, had their tax credit expire and has been renting and selling their properties at market rate (primarily to young professionals).  Many of the derelict properties on the southern edge of the neighborhood have been demolished, and plans are underway for new homes to be built.  

 

My prediction is that the trends we see will continue, and that home values will continue to climb.  I think that if the trend continues, in the next two years prices/SF for homes sold at retail will surpass $100/ft, at which time we will hit a tipping point which will open the neighborhood to new construction, and we will see many of the functionally obsolete homes demolished and new homes built.  All this is great for our city, and for the greater urban community in Augusta, GA.  

 

What are your thoughts?  Where do you see the market downtown headed?

3rd Quarter 2019 Olde Town Market Update

There are a lot of good things happening in Olde Town!  I had the privilege of turning over the role of President of the Olde Town Neighborhood Association to Bob Trescott, who’s been serving as Vice President.  As the father of five and brand new twins, I needed to trim my commitments, but I was encouraged to see lots of new and excited people with fire and energy to move the neighborhood forward!   

As far as real estate goes, many homes are under renovation and we’ve seen some notable sales driving up the prices.  The Renaissance Apartments at Third and Broad were foreclosed on by HUD last week, and likely will be sold as market-rate apartments in the next few months–that will be great for the neighborhood. We’ve definitely seen the prices rising–in 2016 and 2017 the average price per foot was (38) per square foot, and in 2019 so far it is (72) per square foot!  We are definitely seeing Gentrification is coming to the neighborhood. Also Olde Town Apartments is continuing to renovate and lease units.  

 

Recent Notable Sales in Olde Town:

102 Third Duplex, Sold to Jeremy Rueggeberg for $165,000 on 5/16/19

222 Ellis, Sold to Kelsey Kalyta for $122,870. (Not yet Recorded, should be soon)

220 Broad Sold to James Demons for $61,465.  They are already renovating and this will be a great home.  

224 Greene, Sold to Emily Beatty for $139,000 (Not yet Recorded, should be soon)

235 Broad. Sold to Shivaun Delisser for $115,000 (Not yet Recorded, should be soon)

Under Contract: 307 Broad.  This was listed by Atul Sinha, appears to be under contract at almost full price.

Under Contract: 224 Broad.  This duplex is under contract at almost full price, and should be closing in the next two weeks. 

 

Rents are also rising.  We’re estimating a $0.20 PSF increase on average across rental units in Olde Town over the last 2 years.  

 

Here’s links to two properties we have listed in Olde Town:

407 Third Street

260 Reynolds Street 

 

What are you seeing in Olde Town?  Are you a resident or tenant?  How has the neighborhood changed?  What changes have you seen?

 

 

The Four Stages of Gentrification

When talking about Gentrification, I think the four stages that Phillip Clay identified in his 1979 book “Neighborhood Renewal” are a helpful gauge:

 

1)Pioneer–Small group of Risk Oblivious Pioneers.  Artists, Designers, Gays, Lesbians.  These pioneers generally renovate homes that are vacant and in bad shape.  These folks are visionaries.  

2)Expanding Gentrification–Risk Takers– Flipper and remodelers move in, start renovating buildings.  

3)Displacement–Risk Neutral–Values start rising, middle class people start moving into neighborhood.  This is when major changes come to a neighborhood.  

4)Mature Gentrification–Risk Averse–The neighborhood becomes desirable, often with new resources and businesses.  Often the original residents and early gentrifiers are displaced.  

 

How are we seeing this in Olde Town now?  We’re seeing single females purchase homes in the neighborhood.  We’re seeing section 8 apartments turned into market rate housing.  We see young women pushing strollers down Greene Street, rather than old women pushing shopping carts down Greene Street (most of those folks are gone now).  The neighborhood is changing quickly.  

 

Do you live in an urban neighborhood?  Where do you think your neighborhood is in this process?  What signs do you see to confirm that?  

 

Helfpul Links:

https://sites.google.com/site/gg2wpdermotmitchell/gentrification-processes

https://www.cnu.org/publicsquare/2018/04/27/%E2%80%98jacobs-curve%E2%80%99-and-gentrification